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Tumble Creek Real Estate Market 2025

Tumble Creek Real Estate Market Report | August 2026

Tumble Creek Real Estate Market Report | August 2026

Presented by Courtney Cooper Neese, Designated Broker | Roslyn Living

Tumble Creek continues to be one of the most distinctive luxury mountain communities in Washington, offering the privacy of a gated community, access to the greater Suncadia resort, and an additional collection of amenities reserved for Tumble Creek Club residents and their guests. As we move through the second half of 2026, the real estate market here is giving buyers more choices while also showing us something important about luxury real estate: buyers are active, but they are selective. Pricing, condition, location within the community and the overall quality of a home matter tremendously right now.

Current Homes for Sale

The August market report includes 32 active homes, with asking prices ranging from $1,429,000 to $5,500,000. The median asking price is $2,385,000, while the average asking price is approximately $2.61 million. The average active home is approximately 3,902 square feet, and the average asking price works out to about $669 per square foot.
Inventory is broad enough that buyers can currently shop several very different versions of the Tumble Creek lifestyle. At the entry end of the market are homes in roughly the $1.4 million to $1.7 million range, while the upper end stretches well beyond $3 million and ultimately to $5.5 million. There are newer homes, established homes, smaller lock-and-leave options and substantially larger mountain residences on acreage. That variety is good news for buyers, but it also means sellers have to understand exactly where their property fits within the current competition.

Days on Market Tell an Important Story

The active properties in this report average 216 cumulative days on market. That number deserves attention, although it needs context. Luxury mountain real estate has always had a smaller buyer pool than conventional residential real estate, and a multimillion-dollar second home isn't necessarily expected to sell in the same amount of time as a primary residence in a larger metropolitan market.
Still, there is a significant difference between the homes attracting immediate attention and those that have remained available for many months. Several current listings have accumulated hundreds of days on market, while some newer offerings are still in their first few weeks. This is consistent with what I have discussed in previous Tumble Creek market reports: buyers will respond quickly when they see the right combination of price, design, condition and value, but they are willing to wait when those pieces don't align.

What Has Actually Sold?

The report includes 14 listed sales, with closed prices ranging from $1,449,000 to $4,500,000. The median sale price was approximately $2.04 million, while the average sale price was approximately $2.47 million. These homes averaged about $599 per square foot and 175 cumulative days on market.
The relationship between asking prices and eventual selling prices is especially interesting. On average, the sold properties closed at approximately 97.6% of their final list prices, but only 92.77% of their original asking prices.
That gap is one of the most useful pieces of information for sellers right now. It suggests that buyers aren't necessarily looking for enormous discounts once a property reaches a price they believe represents fair market value. The larger adjustment often happens between the original asking price and the price that finally generates the sale.

The Under-$2 Million Market Remains Interesting

The lower end of the Tumble Creek luxury market continues to deserve particular attention. One recent Domerie Park Loop sale closed at $1,989,267 after only five cumulative days on market, exceeding its $1,857,617 asking price.
Another Domerie Park Loop property sold for $1.5 million, above its $1.45 million final list price, after 34 cumulative days on market.
Those sales reinforce something we have seen before in Tumble Creek. There can be strong demand for well-positioned homes around the entry and middle portions of this luxury market, particularly when the home offers newer construction, a manageable size and an easy mountain-home lifestyle.

The Luxury Market Is Still Producing Significant Sales

Activity isn't limited to the lower price points. Recent sales include homes closing at $3.17 million, $3.6 million, $3.65 million, $3.995 million and $4.5 million.
That's important because it demonstrates that buyers are still willing to make substantial investments in this community. What changes as prices rise is the size of the buyer pool and the level of scrutiny those buyers bring to the purchase.
At $3 million, $4 million and above, buyers generally have choices. They can compare existing homes with new construction, different locations within the community and sometimes entirely different luxury mountain communities. At these price levels, architecture, finishes, outdoor living, views, privacy, lot characteristics and overall presentation become increasingly important.

Pricing Is One of the Biggest Factors for Sellers

Several sales in the report demonstrate what can happen when an original asking price and the market don't initially agree. One home originally offered at $5.7 million ultimately had a final list price of $4.9 million and sold for $4.5 million. Another began at $4.699 million, was eventually listed at $3.995 million and sold for that amount.
That doesn't mean those properties were unsuccessful sales. Quite the opposite. They ultimately achieved multimillion-dollar transactions. But the history illustrates why the initial pricing conversation matters so much.
A luxury property can be unique without being immune to market forces.
Today's buyers have access to enormous amounts of information. They can see competing inventory, previous sales, price reductions and market time. Sellers are generally better served by understanding the competitive landscape from the beginning rather than relying on the idea that an extraordinary home will automatically command any asking price.

Tumble Creek Is Not a One-Price Market

One of the reasons I enjoy analyzing Tumble Creek is that there really isn't one simple number that defines its real estate market.
Two homes with similar square footage can have very different values based on age, architecture, lot size, location, privacy, views, outdoor living and interior finish level. Some buyers want a smaller home that is easy to maintain and use on weekends. Others are looking for a substantial mountain estate designed to accommodate extended family and guests.
Price per square foot is useful, but it can't capture all of those differences.
The current active inventory alone ranges from approximately $494 per square foot to more than $1,000 per square foot, demonstrating just how differently individual properties can be positioned.
Understanding those differences is particularly important when determining a listing price or evaluating an offer.

My Perspective at Roslyn Living

I have been a licensed real estate broker for more than 26 years, and my career has centered around specialized properties and markets where local knowledge and experience truly matter. Through Roslyn Living, I work throughout Upper Kittitas County, with particular expertise in Tumble Creek, Suncadia, Roslyn, Ronald, Cle Elum and Snoqualmie Pass. My background also includes waterfront and floating homes, houseboats, marinas and other properties that require a more specialized approach than simply looking at price per square foot. (Roslyn Living)
Over the years I have learned that my job isn't simply to open doors or put a property into the MLS. I believe in straightforward, practical advice, creative and targeted marketing and taking the time to understand why a particular buyer is purchasing and why a particular seller is selling. My network also extends into greater Seattle, which is especially valuable in a market like Tumble Creek where many prospective buyers are coming from the west side of the mountains. That's the approach behind Roslyn Living and the reason I continue to publish these market reports: good real estate decisions begin with understanding the market you're actually in. (Roslyn Living)

What Does This Market Mean for Buyers?

For buyers, the current level of inventory creates opportunity.
There are choices at multiple price points, and buyers have the ability to compare homes, locations, lot characteristics, construction quality and overall value. This isn't necessarily a market where a buyer should assume that every property will sit indefinitely, however. The recent five-day sale above asking price demonstrates exactly what can happen when an appealing property reaches the market at a price buyers recognize as compelling.
If you find the right property, understanding its position relative to recent sales and current competition can help determine whether there is room to negotiate or whether moving quickly is the better strategy.

What Does This Market Mean for Sellers?

For sellers, competition is the biggest story.
The report contains 32 active properties, and the average active listing has accumulated 216 days on market. At the same time, we have recent examples of homes selling in five, six, ten and 21 cumulative days.
That tells me this isn't simply a "slow market." It is a selective market.
The best-positioned properties can still generate significant interest. Sellers need to know what else a buyer will see at their price point, how their home compares, where the strongest recent sales have occurred and what makes their property different enough to deserve attention.
Marketing matters, presentation matters and pricing matters.

Looking Ahead in Tumble Creek

The August 2026 Tumble Creek market offers something for both sides of a transaction. Buyers have more selection and negotiating information, while sellers still have evidence of buyers paying premium prices when a property gets the formula right.
The overall numbers show a luxury market with significant inventory and longer average market times, but the individual sales reveal a much more nuanced story. Some homes are taking months to find their buyers. Others are selling almost immediately. Multimillion-dollar transactions continue to occur, and the strongest properties can still command impressive prices.
That's why I don't believe Tumble Creek can be understood simply by looking at an average sale price.
Every home here has to be evaluated individually.
If you are considering buying or selling a home in Tumble Creek, I would be happy to help you understand where a particular property fits into today's market. With more than 26 years of real estate experience, extensive knowledge of Tumble Creek and the surrounding Upper Kittitas County communities, and a network that reaches into the greater Seattle buyer market, I can help you build a strategy based on your individual goals. Whether you're searching for a weekend mountain home, a full-time residence or preparing to sell a luxury property in Tumble Creek, reach out to me at Roslyn Living and let's talk about what makes sense for you.

Courtney Cooper Neese  [email protected] 509-905-8083
Market information compiled from NWMLS data as of August 11, 2026. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and should be independently verified.

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