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Tumble Creek Real Estate Market Report

Tumble Creek Real Estate Market Report – 2025 Mid-Year Update
Presented by Courtney Cooper Neese | Roslyn Living

Midway through 2025, Tumble Creek continues to uphold its status as one of the premier private luxury enclaves in the Pacific Northwest. Nestled within the Suncadia Resort, this gated community offers a compelling mix of sophisticated mountain architecture, outdoor adventure, and exclusivity—drawing discerning buyers from across the region.

This year’s market activity reveals strong interest in well-priced, move-in-ready homes and continued buyer demand for thoughtfully designed properties in both the mid and upper tiers. Let’s take a closer look at the year-to-date performance in Tumble Creek.

Sales Snapshot: 8 Homes Sold in 2025

From January through July 2025, eight homes in Tumble Creek have sold, including seven publicly listed properties and one private off-market transaction. These sales reflect a healthy mix of luxury homes across various price ranges and styles.

Publicly Listed Sales:
    1.    1130 Domerie Park Loop – Sold for $1,442,082 | 3 bed | 3 bath | 2,267 sq ft
    2.    860 Domerie Park Loop – Sold for $1,895,368 | 3 bed | 2.75 bath | 2,489 sq ft
    3.    61 Sasse Lane – Sold for $1,859,000 | 4 bed | 4.25 bath | 2,932 sq ft
    4.    191 Gold Leaf Lane – Sold for $1,899,998 | 5 bed | 5 bath | 3,445 sq ft
    5.    131 Southern Star Lane – Sold for $1,999,999 | 6 bed | 4.75 bath | 3,992 sq ft
    6.    6670 Tumble Creek Drive – Sold for $2,200,000 | 5 bed | 6 bath | 3,843 sq ft
    7.    310 Fortune Creek Lane – Sold for $2,998,000 | 4 bed | 3 bath | 4,209 sq ft

Off-Market Sale:
8. 161 Orphan Nugget Lane – Sold for $3,250,000 | 5 bed | 5.5 bath | 4,654 sq ft

Sales Metrics Summary:
    •    Average Sale Price: $2,118,431
    •    Median Sale Price: $2,023,482
    •    Average Days on Market: 199
    •    Median Days on Market: 244
    •    Average Price per Sq Ft: $662.71
    •    Average Sale-to-List Price: 97.15%
    •    Sale-to-Original List Price: 92.89%

These numbers indicate solid performance, particularly for homes priced between $1.8M–$2.2M, where multiple sales occurred and average days on market were reasonable given the luxury price point.

Homes Under Contract: 4 Properties in Escrow

As of July 2025, four homes in Tumble Creek are under contract across three sale stages:
    •    1 Pending Sale: A newer 3-bedroom home around 2,500 sq ft, priced at $1,857,617, went pending in just 5 days—illustrating the strong buyer response in the sub-$2M market.
    •    1 Contingent Sale: A luxury home listed at $2,795,000 is under contract after 505 days on market, showing that while demand exists at the high end, pricing and patience are key.
    •    2 Pending Inspection Sales:
    •    One listed at $1,668,000 (4 bed, ~3,000 sq ft)
    •    Another listed at $1,899,000 (4 bed, ~3,000 sq ft)

Both received offers within a week of listing, highlighting continued strength in the $1.6M–$1.9M range for well-positioned homes.

Active Listings: Expanded Inventory at Every Level

There are currently 28 active listings in Tumble Creek, providing buyers with the widest range of available inventory seen this year. These homes range in size from just under 1,900 sq ft to over 9,000 sq ft, and in price from $1,425,000 to $6.5 million.

Active Market Highlights:
    •    Average List Price: $2,726,732
    •    Median List Price: $2,547,000
    •    Average Price per Sq Ft: $681.70
    •    Average Square Footage: 4,001 sq ft
    •    Average Days on Market: 189

These listings cover the full spectrum of the Tumble Creek experience—from modest second homes and golf cottages to expansive estates with designer finishes and sweeping Cascade views.

However, absorption is slower in the $3M+ range, where several listings have been on the market for over 100 days. Buyers in this category are active but deliberate, seeking exceptional quality, design, and value alignment.

What’s Selling Fast—and Why

The data is clear: homes under $2 million, especially new or nearly new construction under 3,000 sq ft, are selling significantly faster. These properties are often under contract within a week and close near or above asking price, particularly if they offer modern layouts and curated design.

By contrast, homes priced $3M+—though commanding strong price per square foot—face longer timelines and more selective buyers. Sellers at this tier must lean into staging, seasonal marketing strategy, and pricing flexibility to stay competitive.

Community-Wide Market Summary (Tumble Creek + Suncadia)
    •    Homes Sold YTD: 8
    •    Average Sales Price: $2,118,431
    •    Median Sales Price: $2,023,482
    •    Average Days on Market: 199
    •    Average Price per Sq Ft: $662.71
    •    Average Sale-to-List Price: 97.15%
    •    Sale-to-Original List Price: 92.89%

Looking Ahead: Opportunities for Buyers and Sellers

With 28 homes currently on the market, buyers have excellent options to choose from across a variety of price points and home styles. For sellers, understanding today’s buyer preferences—paired with strategic pricing and marketing—will be key to success heading into the second half of the year.

📞 Thinking about making a move in Tumble Creek? Reach out to Courtney Cooper Neese at Roslyn Living. With deep local expertise and a trusted presence in the Suncadia market, Courtney provides personalized service and proven results for buyers and sellers alike.

Whether you’re ready to buy your dream mountain home or considering selling a property, now is the time to act—and Courtney is here to help you every step of the way.

*all data compiled by Courtney Cooper Neese from market report in NWMLS.  For a specialized report, please contact courtney at [email protected].

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